This analysis shows trade tariffs, stricter immigration policy, and reductions in nutrition program spending would have substantial negative effects on the U.S. dairy sector.

Entering 2025, dairy prices have remained stable to weaker. While there appears to be more bearish than bullish fundamental factors present, the magnitude of these influences remains uncertain. The extent of each factor’s impact will ultimately determine farm-level profitability in the coming year.

President Trump has initiated a phased rollout of universal tariffs on all U.S. imports. Economists suggest that these policies will likely be inflationary, as businesses paying higher tariffs may pass costs onto consumers. Additionally, affected trading partners could retaliate, potentially leading to a broader trade conflict.

In this presentation, Leonard Polzin, Extension Dairy Markets and Policy Outreach Specialist, covers what producers need to know for the 2025 DMC sign-up. He walks through changes and discusses the DMC decision tool that helps producers decide on the level of coverage necessary.